Palin Losing Ground Among Republicans and Key States

Two new polls have been released that are not good news for Governor Palin.  One was done by CNN/Opinion Research which has only 49% likely or somewhat likely to support a presidental bid.  The breakdown of the very likely is only 23% of those polled, the second lowest out of the names that were polled.  Her highest number of 28% came in as not likely at all to support her bid for the presidency. 


Governor Romney 24%
Governor Huckabee 27%
Former Speaker Gingrich 19%.


Governor Palin has never been one to pay much attention to polls, if she did, she wouldn't have ever run for governor.  But running for governor is not remotely the same as going through a national primary, where momentum means a great deal. 

The second of the polls was conducted by Public Policy Polling.  A left leaning polling company polled key primary states.   These numbers need to be taken with a grain of salt as they don't list the breakouts of the polling just give the actual numbers.  Who they polled is also not listed.  Of course the media is running with these numbers, especially the ones about her home state of Alaska. 

State



Montana
44/50


Ohio
37/52


North Carolina
36/57


Florida
36/57


Virginia
35/58


Wisconsin
35/58


Minnesota
35/60


Michigan
34/60


Alaska
33/58


Massachusetts
27/68


At this point these numbers mean nothing, as the election is almost two years away.  But, eventually these numbers will start to mean something.  Once the primaries start getting closer republican primary voters will start to look at poll numbers to look at negatives among independents.  Winning the primary is not the goal, the general election is.  Once the primaries get started winning in the early states means something as it helps build onto the next state.  We will need to wait and see how these numbers change as the primaries start to get closer.