Sunday, November 6, 2011

Poll of Polls of 2012 GOP Race



PollDateSampleCainRomneyGingrichPerryPaulBachmannSantorumHuntsmanSpread
RCP Average10/14 - 11/3--25.523.011.09.88.23.51.51.2Cain +2.5
ABC News/Wash Post10/31 - 11/3438 RV232512149411Romney +2
Rasmussen Reports11/2 - 11/21000 LV26231487212Cain +3
Quinnipiac10/25 - 10/31869 RV30231087412Cain +7
FOX News10/23 - 10/25328 RV242012109330Cain +4
CBS News/NY Times10/19 - 10/24455 RV25211068211Cain +4
CNN/Opinion Research10/14 - 10/16416 A25268139621Romney +1
RCP POLL AVERAGE
2012 Republican Presidential Nomination
25.5Cain +2.523.0Romney11.0Gingrich9.8Perry
8.2Paul3.5Bachmann1.5Santorum1.2Huntsman

Polling Data

PollDateSampleCainRomneyGingrichPerryPaulBachmannSantorumHuntsmanSpread
RCP Average10/14 - 11/3--25.523.011.09.88.23.51.51.2Cain +2.5
ABC News/Wash Post10/31 - 11/3438 RV232512149411Romney +2
Rasmussen Reports11/2 - 11/21000 LV26231487212Cain +3
Quinnipiac10/25 - 10/31869 RV30231087412Cain +7
FOX News10/23 - 10/25328 RV242012109330Cain +4
CBS News/NY Times10/19 - 10/24455 RV25211068211Cain +4
CNN/Opinion Research10/14 - 10/16416 A25268139621Romney +1
Associated Press/GfK10/13 - 10/17431 A26307138422Romney +4
Rasmussen Reports10/12 - 10/121000 LV29291095422Tie
PPP (D)10/7 - 10/10484 RV302215145512Cain +8
Reuters/Ipsos10/6 - 10/10410 A1923710135--2Romney +4
NBC News/Wall St. Jrnl10/6 - 10/10336 RV272381611513Cain +4
WP/Bloomberg/PSRAI10/6 - 10/9391 A16243136410Romney +8
Gallup10/3 - 10/71064 A18207158532Romney +2
ABC News/Wash Post9/29 - 10/2RV17259179721Romney +8
CBS News9/28 - 10/2324 RV17178127432Tie
Quinnipiac9/27 - 10/3927 RV17228146331Romney +5
Pew Research9/22 - 10/4876 RV132281712621Romney +5
FOX News9/25 - 9/27363 RV172311196334Romney +4
CNN/Opinion Research9/23 - 9/25447 A72110287431Perry +7
Rasmussen Reports9/19 - 9/191000 LV7249286832Perry +4
USA Today/Gallup9/15 - 9/18439 RV52453113521Perry +7
McClatchy/Marist9/13 - 9/14317 RV52263071221Perry +8
CBS News/NY Times9/10 - 9/15747 RV5167235711Perry +7
Bloomberg9/9 - 9/12545 RV4224268921Perry +4
CNN/Opinion Research9/9 - 9/11446 A51853012422Perry +12
PPP (D)9/8 - 9/11500 RV818103111922Perry +13
ABC News/Wash Post8/29 - 9/1RV3234298621Perry +6
Politico/GWU/Battleground8/28 - 9/1LV417536101051Perry +19
FOX News8/29 - 8/31341 RV4183267431Perry +8
NBC News/Wall St. Jrnl8/27 - 8/31RV5235389832Perry +15
CNN/Opinion Research8/24 - 8/25467 A2146276911Perry +13
Quinnipiac8/16 - 8/271185 RV51832491011Perry +6
PPP (D)8/18 - 8/21663 RV71772761032Perry +10
Gallup8/17 - 8/211040 A41432511731Perry +11
Rasmussen Reports8/15 - 8/151000 LV61852991311Perry +11
FOX News8/7 - 8/9319 RV5216136722Romney +8
USA Today/Gallup8/4 - 8/7487 A424717141312Romney +7
CNN/Opinion Research8/5 - 8/7449 A41751512724Romney +2
McClatchy/Marist8/2 - 8/4301 RV6212183832Romney +3
Rasmussen Reports7/28 - 7/281000 LV9226181016--2Romney +4
Pew Research7/20 - 7/24546 RV82131291112Romney +9
Gallup7/20 - 7/241088 A31731581122Romney +2
CNN/Opinion Research7/18 - 7/20455 A61641481221Romney +2
FOX News7/17 - 7/19RV5174149102--Romney +3
PPP (D)7/15 - 7/17730 RV1020611916--2Romney +4
ABC News/Wash Post7/14 - 7/17RV7264871323Romney +13
NBC News/Wall St. Jrnl7/14 - 7/17RV53081191632Romney +14
Quinnipiac7/5 - 7/11913 RV62551051411Romney +11
FOX News6/26 - 6/28324 RV51831371123Romney +5
McClatchy/Marist6/15 - 6/23308 RV5192135812Romney +6
Rasmussen Reports6/14 - 6/141000 LV10339--71962Romney +14
NBC News/Wall St. Jrnl6/9 - 6/13RV1230687341Romney +18
PPP (D)6/9 - 6/12544 RV17229--78--1Romney +5
Gallup6/8 - 6/11851 RV9245--7561Romney +15
FOX News6/5 - 6/7338 LV7237--5442Romney +16
Reuters/Ipsos6/3 - 6/6621 A6184585--2Romney +10
CNN/Opinion Research6/3 - 6/7433 A102410--7411Romney +14
ABC News/Wash Post*6/2 - 6/5A421636311Romney +15
Quinnipiac5/31 - 6/6830 RV9258--8641Romney +16
CNN/Opinion Research5/24 - 5/26473 A10158--12721Romney +3
PPP (D)5/23 - 5/25574 RV12169--99--4Romney +4
Gallup5/20 - 5/24971 A8179--10522Romney +7
PPP (D)5/5 - 5/8610 RV--2420--128----Romney +4
CNN/Opinion Research4/29 - 5/1475 A--1310--10521Romney +3
Quinnipiac4/26 - 5/11408 RV--185--5411Romney +13
FOX News4/25 - 4/27322 RV4197--7331Romney +12
Rasmussen Reports4/26 - 4/26500 LV--179--8------Romney +8
Gallup4/15 - 4/201047 A--136--6421Romney +7
ABC News/Wash Post**4/14 - 4/17A--162021----Romney +14
McClatchy/Marist4/10 - 4/14468 RV2184--7321Romney +11
CNN/Opinion Research4/9 - 4/10385 A--1111--752--Tie
PPP (D)4/7 - 4/10400 RV--1511--54----Romney +4
FOX News4/3 - 4/5344 RV2147--3221Romney +7
NBC News/Wall St. Jrnl3/31 - 4/4238 RV--2111----53--Romney +10
Gallup3/18 - 3/221082 A--1510--6522Romney +5
CNN/Opinion Research3/11 - 3/13504 A--1814--8--3--Romney +4
Pew Research3/8 - 3/14538 RV--2111--8--2--Romney +10
PPP (D)3/10 - 3/13600 RV--1714--9------Romney +3
NBC News/Wall St. Jrnl2/24 - 2/28282 RV--2113--6--21Romney +8
Gallup2/18 - 2/201326 RV--169--5421Romney +7
Newsweek/Daily Beast2/12 - 2/15LV--197--------1Romney +12
PPP (D)2/11 - 2/13400 RV--1712--8------Romney +5
CNN/Opinion Research1/21 - 1/23479 A--1810--7--1--Romney +8
Rasmussen Reports1/18 - 1/181000 LV--2411--4------Romney +13
NBC News/Wall St. Jrnl1/13 - 1/171000 A--1910--8--3--Romney +9
PPP (D)1/14 - 1/16515 RV--1411--7------Romney +3
ABC News/Wash Post1/13 - 1/16425 A--1793----11Romney +8
Clarus Research12/10 - 12/16365 RV--1910--4------Romney +9
PPP (D)11/19 - 11/21400 RV--1819--5------Gingrich +1
McClatchy/Marist11/15 - 11/18337 RV--20105--------Romney +10
Gallup11/13 - 11/14925 A--1913--6--1--Romney +6
Quinnipiac11/8 - 11/15RV--1815----------Romney +3
Rasmussen Reports11/1 - 11/11000 LV--2013--5------Romney +7
CNN/Opinion Research10/27 - 10/30500 A--2012--7--2--Romney +8
Gallup9/25 - 9/26906 A--199--7--2--Romney +10
McClatchy/Marist9/14 - 9/16369 RV--2516----------Romney +9
PPP (D)9/10 - 9/13419 RV--2218--6------Romney +4
CNN/Opinion Research8/6 - 8/10494 A--2115--10--2--Romney +6
PPP (D)8/6 - 8/9400 RV--2221--4------Romney +1
Clarus Research7/26 - 7/27374 RV--2614----------Romney +12
Time7/12 - 7/13260 A--1812----------Romney +6
PPP (D)7/9 - 7/12400 RV--1923--7------Gingrich +4
PPP (D)6/4 - 6/7401 RV--2515--6------Romney +10
PPP (D)5/7 - 5/9539 RV--2321--8------Romney +2
PPP (D)4/9 - 4/11400 RV--33------------Romney +33
CNN/Opinion Research4/9 - 4/11498 A--2014--8--3--Romney +6
CNN/Opinion Research3/19 - 3/21498 A--228--8--5--Romney +14
Clarus Research3/17 - 3/20415 RV--2913----------Romney +16
PPP (D)3/12 - 3/14614 RV--28----11------Romney +17
Gallup2/1 - 2/3490 RV--143--2------Romney +11
ABC News/Wash Post11/19 - 11/23804 A--92--1------Romney +7
CNN/Opinion Research10/16 - 10/18462 A--21------------Romney +21
Rasmussen Reports10/15 - 10/15750 LV--2414----------Romney +10
Clarus Research8/14 - 8/18353 LV--3015----------Romney +15
Marist8/3 - 8/6310 RV--2110----------Romney +11
FOX News7/21 - 7/22303 RV--229----------Romney +13
ABC News/Wash Post7/15 - 7/18A--2110----------Romney +11
Gallup7/10 - 7/12455 A--2614----------Romney +12
Rasmussen Reports7/6 - 7/6750 LV--2514----------Romney +11
CNN/Opinion Research5/14 - 5/17448 A--2113----------Romney +8
FOX News5/12 - 5/13274 RV--1814----------Romney +4
CNN/Opinion Research2/18 - 2/19429 A--21------------Romney +21
Rasmussen Reports11/5 - 11/51000 LV--11------------Romney +11

Quote of the Day - President Obama Edition Part 9

“I want to make mention that this is our first meeting since the arrival of the newest Sarkozy, and so I want to congratulate Nicolas and Carla on the birth of Giulia… And I informed Nicolas on the way in that I am confident that Giulia inherited her mother’s looks rather than her father’s, which I think is an excellent thing.”
President Obama on the birth of President Sarkozy's daughter.  


No one else seemed to get the joke.  

Saturday, November 5, 2011

The Slippery Slope of Liberalism Part 4


A young couple from South Africa that was engaged to be married and about to become parents have discovered that they are actually brother and sister.  The parents of the couple split up when the women was 8 months old and the man was 2.  The father has been quoted as saying he left his wife due to her being unfaithful.  The wife kept the daughter and the husband raised the son, both as single parents.  They never told their children they had siblings.  Quite obviously neither parent had any interest in their other child either.
We live in a culture that has changed the meaning of parenthood in so many ways of late, that it is considered perfectly acceptable to lie to your children about where they come from and have bonds between child and parent.  These parents raised their children like they had either a sperm donor or a uterus host instead of another parent.
These children have grown into adults and went to college where they met and fell in love with each other.  Apparently, there is also a term for immediate family members who grow up not knowing each other who develop a strong sexual attraction to each other:
Genetic Sexual Attraction (GSA) is a term that describes the phenomenon of sexual attraction between close relatives, such as siblings, first and second cousins or a parent and offspring who first meet as adults.
It is not the same as incest, though this is what it is called if a sexual relationship is then entered into.
The term GSA was coined 30 years ago by American Barbara Gonyo. She wrote a book about the lust she felt for the adult son she had given up for adoption 26 years earlier.
She never acted on her feelings.
GSA is rare between people raised together in early childhood due to a reverse sexual imprinting known as the Westermarck effect, which desensitizes them from sexual attraction.
Experts believe that this effect evolved to prevent inbreeding.
A child is about to born through incest.  A couple is heartbroken.  A family has been destroyed.  All because two parents decided to be selfish instead of telling their children the truth about their family and to swallow their pride and put their children first.

Don't Look Now, But Newt is Gaining in the Polls

I think that Newt is going to be part of the conversation once the votes are actually cast.  Newt seems to think so too.

Newt gave a ripping roaring speech in Iowa last night at the Ronald Reagan Dinner, a republican fundraiser.  All the candidates except Herman Cain and Mitt Romney attended a gave a short speech.  Newt got the biggest applause.  His numbers in the polls are starting to climb.  He spent part of his time complimenting the other candidates.  He has consistently tried to stay above the fray of the republican firing squad and concentrate his efforts on Obama and his policies.

Oh, by the way, I would pay money to watch him and Obama do a Lincoln-Douglas type debate.  I think it should be used as a debt paydown plan.  I would pay $200 to watch that.  Wouldn't you?


Friday, November 4, 2011

Supporters of Herman Cain Release Ad on Harassment Charges

video platformvideo managementvideo solutionsvideo player

Quote of the Day - Sarah Palin on Occupy Wall Street Edition

"They say, 'Wall Street 'fat cats' got a bailout, so now I want one too,' and the correct answer is, 'No one is entitled to a bailout.'"
Sarah Palin on the Occupy Wall Street Protests 

Thursday, November 3, 2011

Occupy Wall Street Quote of the Day Edition Part 9

“Some kids looking to blow off some steam.”
Hale Nicholson - OWS Oakland Protester.  


 “OaklandPolice responded to a late night call that protesters had broken into and occupied a downtown building and set several simultaneous fires,” the statement read. “The protesters began hurling rocks, explosives, bottles, and flaming objects at responding officers.
I mean who doesn't do that when they just want to blow off some steam?  


Yeah, they are just like the Tea Party.   

Quote of the Day - Gavin Polone

One of the many things that bug me about the industry in which I work is the large population of phonies who claim to be liberal, caring, green and unaffected by their wealth and fame but in reality are just as self-centered and addicted to their huge, over-air-conditioned living spaces and private planes as those at whom they point their fingers. And none is more phony and finger-pointing than Michael Moore.
Gavin Polone, Hollywood Producer.  


It is about time someone in Hollywood called Michael Moore out for his dishonesty and hypocrisy.  Good for you Mr. Palone, good for you. 

Wednesday, November 2, 2011

Conservatives Herman Cain Dilemma

Conservatives, for the most part, have decided to rally around Herman Cain after the announcement of him being faced with complaints of harassment while running the National Restaurant Association.  Both Rush and Ann Coulter have said these are racially motivated attacks.  All of this without knowing who it is that brought this to the attention of Politico in the first place.  

One could make a very good argument that much more is to be gained by people on the right at this moment in time.  Perry's campaign is in serious trouble.  Romney is facing a very serious challenge for the first time in the campaign by a person who is going to attract the conservative base much more so than Romney ever will.  The other candidates are sinking fast and will be in the dustbin of irrelevancy in very short order.  While it would be stupid for any GOP candidate to put these out there, it is not beyond the realm of possibility. 

The truth is this, this story is not a smear job as many on right are characterizing it as.  The Politico story is true.  The Cain campaign was given plenty of notice of the story before it was released.  The first reaction of the Cain campaign was to say nothing.  Then when Cain decided to speak on Monday morning he gave an incoherent and not truthful response.  
“If the restaurant association did a settlement, I wasn’t even aware of it and I hope it wasn’t for much. If there was a settlement, it was handled by some of the other officers at the restaurant association.”
Hours later, he said that there was a settlement and it was a small amount of money, only several months pay.  It has since come out that the settlement was for a years salary; $35,000.  We don't know all the details of the complaint that was filed.  We have heard what Cain has had to say.  If that is really all there is to it, it was ridiculous lawsuit.  But, we don't know all the details.  

Most people on the right side of aisle have very strong feelings about what we perceive to be frivolous lawsuits and trial lawyers who seem to be out to make a buck off anything that they can.  Another thing that may not be being made clear is how common it is for an organization to settle these suits as it far less expensive then fighting them, it limits future claims of liability, and it reduces the chances of bad PR.  The privacy agreements signed are also a normal course of business when settling these suits.  It is also true that settling is not an admission of guilt.  It is the price of doing business in the litigious world we live in.  

When running for the office of the presidency your entire life is bared out for the all the world to see.  Anyone who has had this type of settlement in the past, it is going to come out.  Cain should have been better prepared to answer questions on this matter.  Cain also should have gotten more familiar with the details of the case before making any statements.  I don't think that anyone can say that they would remember every detail of something that happened more than dozen years ago.  

Cain is saying some pretty incredible things if you really sit back and think about it.  He is saying that he had no idea of how much the settlement was for even though he was the head of the association.  While it is very likely that he stayed out of the day to day details of the claim and the settlement, but as the head of the organization writing out a check that large would have to get approval.  As person who worked in the non profit sector for many years I can tell you everything must be coded and signed off on before the accounting department will cut a check.  It is really likely that he was not made aware of how much the settlement was?  

There is no way any honest broker can say that there is not a left leaning bias to many in the media.  I think they self identify as democrats at something along the lines of 80%.  This is nothing new, nor should it be surprise that many in media are going to handle a story like this about a conservative with glee.  But, that doesn't justify making statements that Mr. Cain is some sort of victim.  The story is true.  This is a relevant piece of information for voters to have when deciding whom they are going to cast a ballot for.  

Mr. Cain has plenty of time to repair any damage caused by this story.  All he has to do is be truthful and lay out the facts as best he can under the circumstances of the confidentially agreements.  But what he shouldn't be doing is calling himself a victim.  This information was bound to come out at some point.  The first votes are still two months away.  If Politico were trying to derail his candidacy as everyone claims, they would have waited to release this story much closer to the Iowa Caucus, when he wouldn't have had time to repair the damage.  

The fact that many on the right feel that this story wouldn't be reported if he were a liberal is a silly argument. While that may very well be some truth to that line of thinking, the point is that it should be reported.  Voters should have as much information that they can on a potential president.  They can decide for themselves what they feel matters and what they feel doesn't.  Someone reporting the truth is not smear job. It is their job.  We can all hope for the sake of the nation that they will continue to report these stories regardless of what party the person happens to belong to

Tuesday, November 1, 2011

Occupy Wall Street Quote of the Day Edition Part 8


“We give directions to clinics if people ask for information regarding STDs,  like anything else, it happens. People ask, and we do the best we can for them.”

Captain, Occupy Wall Street Protester.  



Not something that I have had to worry about after attending a Tea Party Rally
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